Part 2
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/04/opinion/04lewiseinhornb.html?th&emc=th
But something like the reverse seems more true: propping up failed banks and
extending them huge amounts of credit has made business more difficult for the
people and companies that had nothing to do with creating the mess.
In the extreme case, subprime mortgage bonds were created so that smart
investors, using credit-default swaps, could bet against them.
Call it insurance if you like, but it’s not the insurance most people know. It’s
more like buying fire insurance on your neighbor’s house, possibly for many
times the value of that house — from a company that probably doesn’t have any
real ability to pay you if someone sets fire to the whole neighborhood.
Another good solution to the too-big-to-fail problem is to break up any
institution that becomes too big to fail.
Part 1 Background
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/01/04/opinion/04lewiseinhorn.html?pagewanted=2&_r=1&th&emc=th
These oligopolies, which are actually sanctioned by the S.E.C., didn’t merely do
their jobs badly. They didn’t simply miss a few calls here and there. In pursuit
of their own short-term earnings, they did exactly the opposite of what they
were meant to do: rather than expose financial risk they systematically
disguised it.
Created to protect investors from financial predators, the commission has
somehow evolved into a mechanism for protecting financial predators with
political clout from investors. (The task it has performed most diligently
during this crisis has been to question, intimidate and impose rules on
short-sellers — the only market players who have a financial incentive to expose
fraud and abuse.)
The instinct to avoid short-term political heat is part of the problem; anything
the S.E.C. does to roil the markets, or reduce the share price of any given
company, also roils the careers of the people who run the S.E.C. Thus it seldom
penalizes serious corporate and management malfeasance — out of some misguided
notion that to do so would cause stock prices to fall, shareholders to suffer
and confidence to be undermined. Preserving confidence, even when that
confidence is false, has been near the top of the S.E.C.’s agenda.
IT’S not hard to see why the S.E.C. behaves as it does. If you work for the
enforcement division of the S.E.C. you probably know in the back of your mind,
and in the front too, that if you maintain good relations with Wall Street you
might soon be paid huge sums of money to be employed by it.
The commission’s most recent director of enforcement is the general counsel at
JPMorgan Chase; the enforcement chief before him became general counsel at
Deutsche Bank; and one of his predecessors became a managing director for Credit
Suisse before moving on to Morgan Stanley. A casual observer could be forgiven
for thinking that the whole point of landing the job as the S.E.C.’s director of
enforcement is to position oneself for the better paying one on Wall Street.
How does this happen? How can the person in charge of assessing Wall Street
firms not have the tools to understand them? Is the S.E.C. that inept? Perhaps,
but the problem inside the commission is far worse — because inept people can be
replaced. The problem is systemic. The new director of risk assessment was no
more likely to grasp the risk of Bernard Madoff than the old director of risk
assessment because the new guy’s thoughts and beliefs were guided by the same
incentives: the need to curry favor with the politically influential and the
desire to keep sweet the Wall Street elite.
How does this happen? How can the person in charge of assessing Wall Street
firms not have the tools to understand them? Is the S.E.C. that inept? Perhaps,
but the problem inside the commission is far worse — because inept people can be
replaced. The problem is systemic. The new director of risk assessment was no
more likely to grasp the risk of Bernard Madoff than the old director of risk
assessment because the new guy’s thoughts and beliefs were guided by the same
incentives: the need to curry favor with the politically influential and the
desire to keep sweet the Wall Street elite.
In the middle of all this, Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. persuaded
Congress that he needed $700 billion to buy distressed assets from banks —
telling the senators and representatives that if they didn’t give him the money
the stock market would collapse. Once handed the money, he abandoned his
promised strategy, and instead of buying assets at market prices, began to
overpay for preferred stocks in the banks themselves. Which is to say that he
essentially began giving away billions of dollars to Citigroup, Morgan Stanley,
Goldman Sachs and a few others unnaturally selected for survival. The stock
market fell anyway.
It’s hard to know what Mr. Paulson was thinking as he never really had to
explain himself, at least not in public. But the general idea appears to be that
if you give the banks capital they will in turn use it to make loans in order to
stimulate the economy. Never mind that if you want banks to make smart, prudent
loans, you probably shouldn’t give money to bankers who sunk themselves by
making a lot of stupid, imprudent ones. If you want banks to re-lend the money,
you need to provide them not with preferred stock, which is essentially a loan,
but with tangible common equity — so that they might write off their losses,
resolve their troubled assets and then begin to make new loans, something they
won’t be able to do until they’re confident in their own balance sheets. But as
it happened, the banks took the taxpayer money and just sat on it.